Pascal’s Wager

Be reminded of Pascal’s wager. The 17th century mathematician, philosopher and hard-core gambler who founded the theory of probabilities, postulated that (quoting Wikipedia) “humans all bet with their lives either that God exists or does not exist. Given the possibility that God actually does exist and assuming the infinite gain or loss associated with belief in God or with unbelief, a rational person should live as though God exists and seek to believe in God. If God does not actually exist, such a person will have only a finite loss (some pleasures, luxury, etc.).”
Apply this same gambler’s logic to the possibility of human activity causing global warming: if it is real and we do nothing to prevent it, the loss will be much greater than if we do all we can and it turns out to be false.

Share

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>